Thursday, November 7, 2024

Google’s and Microsoft’s chatbots are making up Tremendous Bowl stats

In the event you wanted extra proof that GenAI is inclined to creating stuff up, Google’s Gemini chatbot, previously Bard, thinks that the 2024 Tremendous Bowl already occurred. It even has the (fictional) statistics to again it up.

Per a Reddit thread, Gemini, powered by Google’s GenAI fashions of the identical title, is answering questions on Tremendous Bowl LVIII as if the sport wrapped up yesterday — or weeks earlier than. Like many bookmakers, it appears to favor the Chiefs over the 49ers (sorry, San Francisco followers).

Gemini ornaments fairly creatively, in a minimum of one case giving a participant stats breakdown suggesting Kansas Chief quarterback Patrick Mahomes ran 286 yards for 2 touchdowns and an interception versus Brock Purdy’s 253 working yards and one landing.

It’s not simply Gemini. Microsoft’s Copilot chatbot, too, insists the sport ended and offers inaccurate citations to again up the declare. However — maybe reflecting a San Francisco bias! — it says the 49ers, not the Chiefs, emerged victorious “with a last rating of 24-21.”

Copilot Super Bowl

Picture Credit: Kyle Wiggers / TechCrunch

Copilot is powered by a GenAI mannequin related, if not equivalent, to the mannequin underpinning OpenAI’s ChatGPT (GPT-4). However in my testing, ChatGPT was loath to make the identical mistake.

ChatGPT Super Bowl

Picture Credit: Kyle Wiggers / TechCrunch

It’s all relatively foolish — and probably resolved by now, provided that this reporter had no luck replicating the Gemini responses within the Reddit thread. (I’d be shocked if Microsoft wasn’t engaged on a repair as nicely.) But it surely additionally illustrates the foremost limitations of right this moment’s GenAI — and the risks of inserting an excessive amount of belief in it.

GenAI fashions haven’t any actual intelligence. Fed an infinite variety of examples normally sourced from the general public internet, AI fashions find out how possible information (e.g. textual content) is to happen based mostly on patterns, together with the context of any surrounding information.

This probability-based strategy works remarkably nicely at scale. However whereas the vary of phrases and their chances are possible to lead to textual content that is sensible, it’s removed from sure. LLMs can generate one thing that’s grammatically appropriate however nonsensical, as an example — just like the declare in regards to the Golden Gate. Or they’ll spout mistruths, propagating inaccuracies of their coaching information. 

It’s not malicious on the LLMs’ half. They don’t have malice, and the ideas of true and false are meaningless to them. They’ve merely realized to affiliate sure phrases or phrases with sure ideas, even when these associations aren’t correct.

Therefore Gemini’s and Copilot’s Tremendous Bowl 2024 (and 2023, for that matter) falsehoods.

Google and Microsoft, like most GenAI distributors, readily acknowledge that their GenAI apps aren’t excellent and are, actually, inclined to creating errors. However these acknowledgements come within the type of small print I’d argue may simply be missed.

Tremendous Bowl disinformation actually isn’t essentially the most dangerous instance of GenAI going off the rails. That distinction most likely lies with endorsing torture, reinforcing ethnic and racial stereotypes or writing convincingly about conspiracy theories. It’s, nonetheless, a helpful reminder to double-check statements from GenAI bots. There’s an honest likelihood they’re not true.

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