Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Geoffrey Hinton, AI pioneer and figurehead of doomerism, wins Nobel Prize in Physics

Hinton shares the award with fellow pc scientist John Hopfield, who invented a kind of pattern-matching neural community that might retailer and reconstruct knowledge. Hinton constructed on this know-how, referred to as a Hopfield community, to develop backpropagation, an algorithm that lets neural networks study.

Hopfield and Hinton borrowed strategies from physics, particularly statistical strategies, to develop their approaches. Within the phrases of the Nobel Prize committee, the pair are acknowledged “for foundational discoveries and innovations that allow machine studying with synthetic neural networks.”

However since Could 2023, when MIT Expertise Overview helped break the information that Hinton was now terrified of the know-how that he had helped result in, the 76-year-old scientist has change into a lot better referred to as a figurehead for doomerism—the concept there’s a really actual danger that near-future AI may precipitate catastrophic occasions, as much as and together with human extinction.  

Doomerism wasn’t new, however Hinton—who gained the Turing Award, the highest prize in computing science, in 2018—introduced new credibility to a place that lots of his friends as soon as thought of kooky.

What led Hinton to talk out? Once I met with him in his London dwelling final yr, Hinton advised me that he was awestruck by what new giant language fashions may do. OpenAI’s newest flagship mannequin, GPT-4, had been launched a couple of weeks earlier than. What Hinton noticed satisfied him that such know-how—based mostly on deep studying—would rapidly change into smarter than people. And he was fearful about what motivations it will have when it did.  

“I’ve all of a sudden switched my views on whether or not these items are going to be extra clever than us,” he advised me on the time. “I believe they’re very near it now and they are going to be rather more clever than us sooner or later. How can we survive that?”

Hinton’s views set off a months-long media buzz and made the sort of existential dangers that he and others had been imagining (from financial collapse to genocidal robots) into mainstream considerations. A whole bunch of high scientists and tech leaders signed open letters warning of the disastrous downsides of synthetic intelligence. A moratorium on AI improvement was floated. Politicians assured voters they’d do what they might to forestall the worst.

Regardless of the thrill, many take into account Hinton’s views to be fantastical. Yann LeCun, chief AI scientist at Meta and Hinton’s fellow recipient of the 2018 Turing Award, has known as doomerism “preposterously ridiculous.”

Right now’s prize rewards foundational work in a know-how that has change into a part of on a regular basis life. Additionally it is certain to shine a good brighter mild on Hinton’s extra scaremongering opinions.

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